By Yigal Levin
Kaja Kallas called the EU’s decision to add Iran’s IRGC to the terrorist list a decisive step.
These are not empty words: the IRGC is the backbone of the ayatollah regime, and one of the world’s economic centers has officially removed it from the list of protected entities.
Let me remind you, war under the UN is forbidden, but fighting terrorists is not just allowed — it’s considered good practice.
Europe would not have taken this step if it were confident that the regime in Iran could survive.
In other words, there is already an understanding that the rule of the turbaned mullahs will come to an end within a foreseeable period.
It’s important to understand that Iran is potentially very attractive to Europe — mainly as an energy exporter.
But because of sanctions, this potential is not realized.
Iran’s current main economic partners are China, and, of course, Russia.
Iran is sending oil to China bypassing sanctions, and even at steep discounts.
Iran is literally a raw-material appendage for China, which simply exploits it without caring much about modernization.
Honestly, I don’t know why this is: China’s motivation to modernize a degrading Iran seems logical on an intuitive level.
But perhaps China has now chosen Russia as its raw-material appendage, realizing that Iran has essentially become a “suitcase without a handle.”
China has long used Iran against the US and EU, and now it has taken the Russians for this role, using them as a battering ram against the “Western perimeter.”
One way or another, with Iran, I repeat, a decision has likely been made to bring it to an end, which we will very likely see this year.
One key marker that you’re being “discarded” is when a major player labels you a “terrorist.”
In our world, there are three major players: two leading ones — the US and the EU — and one feverishly trying to catch up — China.
All other countries are no more than pieces on the board in the configuration of these three centers of power.
