In the near term, we may witness an attempt to drastically intensify the terrorist nature of the current war

Putin's four paths are ceasefire, frozen front, full mobilisation, or Baltic escalation

The security situation in Europe is becoming more complicated

The Kremlin may see military escalation in Europe as a way to “flip the board”

The longer the Strait of Hormuz blockade lasts, the closer a global economic crisis becomes

Russia's arsenal of medium-range ballistic missiles Oreshnik is beginning to look significant

Without a serious armed structure, changing power in Russia is impossible

The war is entering a phase of strategic systemic attrition

Ukrainian strike power grows as Russian air defenses struggle

Russia prioritizes Dobropillia axis over planned push toward Sloviansk and Kramatorsk