OSINT researcher Clément Molin notes that Russian forces have closed the road between Rostov and occupied Crimea amid an increase in Ukrainian strikes deep into operational territory.
Videos showing the aftermath of strikes are being published more frequently, and attacks on railway transport are also becoming more common.
According to the report, Ukrainian tactics work as follows: FP-1 and FP-2 drones strike depots, command posts, and air defense systems; Hornet drones target logistics vehicles at long range; and long-range FPV drones hit logistics closer to the front line.
Molin believes Russian forces will eventually begin implementing countermeasures against these Ukrainian strikes.
These include revising logistics strategies, changing supply routes, redeploying air defense systems, and building anti-drone tunnel structures made of nets.
However, he notes that such measures will still reduce the effectiveness of Russian logistics compared to current levels.